Mandates survey: Did the departure of Gideon Sa’ar hurt Bnei Gantz? And how much did Netanyahu receive?

Did the dissolution of the state camp hurt Gantz? News 11, 12 and 13 published new mandate polls this evening (Tuesday) that answer the question and add scenarios according to which Yossi Cohen and Naftali Bennett join the race.

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According to the poll on Channel 13, the state camp remains strong with 34 seats. Likud stands at 17 seats, Yesh Atid registered 14 seats, Shas – 9, Otzma Yehudit – 9, and Yisrael Beitenu stands at 8 seats.

In the other parties, Torah Judaism receives 7 mandates, the state right led by Gideon Sa’ar who left the “state camp” receives 6 mandates, Hadash-Ta’al – 4, Ra’am – 4, Meretz – 4. Religious Zionism – 4. Bel “D and the Labor Party did not pass the percentage of blocking in the survey.

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In the division into blocs, the “Netanyahu Bloc” wins only 46 mandates, while the “Netanyahu Opposition Bloc” registers 70 mandates. Hadash – Ta’al with the remaining four mandates.

The survey also examined the distribution of mandates if Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen were to form a new party – and significant changes were evident. The state camp wins 21 mandates, Bennett – 18, Likud – 15, Yossi Cohen – 11, Yesh Atid – 10. The state right wins 0 mandates.

According to the poll on Channel 12, the state camp gets 33 mandates, Likud – 18, Yesh Atid – 13, Shas – 11 and Israel Beitenu – 11. Otzma Yehudit gets 8 mandates, Torah Judaism – 7, Hadash-Ta’a “L – 5, Ra’am – 5, New Hope (the state right led by Gideon Sa’ar) – 5, Meretz – 4. Religious Zionism, Labor and BLD do not pass the blocking percentage.

In the division into blocs, the “Netanyahu Bloc” wins 44 mandates, while the “Netanyahu Opposition Bloc” registers 66 mandates. Hadash-Ta’al and New Hope led by Gideon Sa’ar win 5 mandates each.

News 12 also examined how a new party led by Naftali Bennett would affect the mandate map. In that case, the state camp gets 28 mandates, Likud – 18, Yesh Atid – 12, Bennett – 12 and Tikva Hadada -0.

In the case of a unified list between Gideon Sa’ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen, the state camp wins 25 mandates, the Likud – 17, the Union of the Three – 17 and Yes Atid – 12. In such a case, the division of mandates will win the Netanyahu bloc 42 mandates, Netanyahu’s opponents 56, the Union 17 mandates and Hadash-Ta’al – 5.

In the survey here 11, Gantz wins 30 mandates. Likud – 21, Yesh Atid – 14, Yisrael Beitenu – 11, Sha’s – 10, Otzma Yehudit – 8, Torah Judaism – 7, Sa’ar – 5, Ra’am – 5, Hadash-Ta’al – 5, Meretz – 4. In Lad, Havoda and Smotrich do not pass the blocking percentage.